Context
- Various epidemiological studies suggest a link between cardiovascular disease (CVD) and the development of lung cancers, but have methodological flaws.
Conclusions
- A new, more rigorous study indicates that CVDs are associated with a 67% higher risk of lung cancer and a 95% higher risk of lung cancer death.The study is a nationally paired cohort study conducted in Denmark.
- The prospective population cohort study followed patients with CVD for up to 42 years.
- The increased risk of lung cancer was greatest in CVD diagnosed in middle adulthood (age>40 years).
Why it matters
- The mechanism underlying the association between CVD and lung cancer is unknown, but may involve chronic CVD-induced inflammation. Chronic inflammation is known to promote the development of cancer over time.
- The authors of the new study encourage primary care physicians to evaluate lung cancer screening for newly diagnosed CVDs in mid-adulthood, the age at which lung cancer risk is highest.
Study design
- Nationally paired, prospective, population cohort study of all patients newly diagnosed with CVD (n=306,285) matched by sex and age to 4 control participants without CVD (n=1,222,140) in Denmark.
- The new cases of CVD came from the Danish National Patient Registry (period 1967–2006).These subjects were considered the «exposed» cohort, while the paired control participants were considered the «unexposed» cohort.
- The primary outcomes were lung cancer incidence and lung cancer mortality according to the Danish Cancer Registry and the Danish Cause of Death Registry.
- Results were corrected for potential confounding factors, including obesity, diabetes mellitus, smoking, alcohol-related disorders, cohabitation and educational attainment.
- Funding: Independent Research Fund Denmark; Nordic Cancer Union; other.
Main results
- Follow-up lasted up to 42 years, with a median follow-up of 10.2 years.
- The exposed population developed lung cancer at a rate of 0.08%, while unexposed participants developed lung cancer at a rate of 0.04%.
- After adjusting for confounders, the difference in rates resulted in a 67% higher risk of lung cancer in exposed participants compared to those not exposed (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]=1.67; 95% CI, 1.42–1.96).The confidence interval is the range of values within which HR falls with only a 5% probability of being wrong.
- The risk was even higher for mortality. Exposed participants had a 95% increased risk of lung cancer mortality compared to unexposed participants (aHR=1.95; 95% CI, 1.50–2.55).
- The association between CVD and lung cancer incidence was evident in 3 major CVD subtypes:
- for heart disease, the risk was increased by 93% (aHR=1.93; 95% CI, 1.30–2.85);
- for vascular disease, the risk was increased by 88% (aHR=1.88; 95% CI, 1.35–2.61);
- for hypertensive disease the risk was increased by 46% (aHR=1.46; 95% CI, 1.15–1.85).
- The incidence and mortality of lung cancer appeared to increase with increasing age at diagnosis of CVD.The older group (>40 years) had the highest risk of lung cancer incidence (aHR=3.44; 95% CI, 2.28–5.19) and lung cancer mortality (aHR=3.67; 95% CI, 1.80–7.46) in exposed participants compared to those not exposed.
- for heart disease, the risk was increased by 93% (aHR=1.93; 95% CI, 1.30–2.85);
- for vascular disease, the risk was increased by 88% (aHR=1.88; 95% CI, 1.35–2.61);
- for hypertensive disease the risk was increased by 46% (aHR=1.46; 95% CI, 1.15–1.85).
Limits
- Observational drawing.
- Potential residual confounding due to uncontrolled factors.
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